Archive for the ‘ Slider ’ Category

Scale and Innovation in Today’s Economy

Wednesday, December 7th, 2011
Michael Mandel



Michael Mandel is the chief economic strategist at the Progressive Policy Institute and the founder of Visible Economy LLC, a New York-based news and education company.

by Michael Mandel

Conventional wisdom these days says that small is better when it comes to innovation and putting new ideas into practice. Large enterprises are typically thought of as hidebound defenders of the status quo, dominating by market power and brute force rather than technological and innovative prowess.

Yet reality is far more complicated than this simple small versus big distinction. As we all know many common-sense beliefs turn out to be only partly true, or not to be true at all.

In this policy memo we will reconsider the link between scale (size) and innovation. After 20 years where startups have rightly dominated the innovation headlines, we will show that the pendulum may be swinging back. As a result, there are reasons to believe that scale may be a plus for innovation in today’s economy, not a minus. We will then relate scale to government policy, U.S. competitiveness and prosperity.

The now-heretical idea that scale is an advantage for innovation actually dates back more than 60 years. Back then, Harvard economist Joseph Schumpeter, the inventor of the term ‘creative destruction’, suggested that large-scale firms were “the most powerful engine of progress.” Following after his work, economists developed what came to be known as the “Schumpeterian Hypothesis.” The first part of the Schumpeterian Hypothesis was the argument that bigger firms have more of an incentive to spend on innovation than a smaller one. For example, if we compare a company that manufactures 50 million t-shirts a year versus one that manufactures 10,000 t-shirts a year, the larger company is much more like to spend the big bucks needed to develop and test a new process for dyeing the t-shirts.

The second part of the Schumpeterian Hypothesis is the observation that companies with more market power might also be more willing to invest in innovation. The argument is that if a firm in an ultra-competitive market innovates, the new product or service is quickly copied by rivals, so that the gains from innovations are quickly competed away. Conversely, a firm with market power has the ability to hold onto some of its gains from innovation, so it may pay to invest in product or other improvements.

Together, these two conjectures are among the most controversial and most widely studied of economic theories. Economists and business experts have generated a long series of theoretical papers, econometric analyses, case studies, and anecdotal reports, examining the impact of scale on innovation.

After all this research, we can summarize the economic evidence for and against the Schumpeterian hypothesis in two words: It depends. Part of the problem is that innovation influences scale, as well as vice versa. A successful and innovative small or medium-size company will often grow to be a successful and innovative large company, which perhaps dominates its market because of its very success.

At the same time, the link between scale and innovation, positive or negative, depends on the economic environment. In this policy memo, we will suggest that the current U.S. economy is dealing with a particular set of conditions that will make scale a positive influence on innovation. First, economic and job growth today are increasingly driven by large-scale innovation ecosystems, such as the ones surrounding the iPhone, Android, and the introduction of 4G mobile networks. These ecosystems require management by a core company or companies with the resources and scale to provide leadership and technological direction. This task typically cannot be handled by a small company or startup.

Second, globalization puts more of a premium on size than ever before. A company that looks large in the context of the domestic economy may be relatively small in the context of the global economy. In order to capture the fruits of innovation, U.S. companies have to have the resources to stand against foreign competition, much of which may be state supported.

Finally, the U.S. faces a set of enormous challenges in reforming large-scale integrated systems such as health, energy, and education. Conventional venture-backed startups don’t have the resources to tackle these mammoth problems. Only large firms have the staying power and the scale to potentially implement systemic innovations in these industries.

We finish this policy brief with some observations about scale, innovation, and government policy. In particular, we raise questions about whether an aggressive policy of filing antitrust actions against America’s key technological leaders is really the optimal course for improving U.S. competitiveness, raising living standards, and boosting job growth in the U.S.

Read the entire memo.

Innovation by Acquisition: New Dynamics of High-tech Competition

Wednesday, November 30th, 2011
Michael Mandel



Michael Mandel is the chief economic strategist at the Progressive Policy Institute and the founder of Visible Economy LLC, a New York-based news and education company.

Diana G Carew



Diana G. Carew is an Economist at the Progressive Policy Institute.

by Michael Mandel and Diana G Carew

Right now policymakers are grappling with the implications of slow economic growth in the United States and the rest of the industrialized world. One response is austerity—cutting back on spending, accepting reduced living standards, and slowly digging out from the mess.

A better option, though, is innovation, which accelerates growth, creates new jobs, and makes U.S. products and services more competitive world-wide.  Innovation has the potential for raising incomes, an especially important task given that real median household incomes have fallen more than 10 percent since the beginning of the recession.

While innovation can come from any industry, the technology sector is particularly important, as it has been the main source of growth and innovation in the economy for the past 35 years.  The locus of innovation started with the personal computer in the late 1970s and 1980s; shifted to software and the internet in the 1990s; and now has moved to mobile, search, and more broadly communications, where U.S. companies are world leaders. Today’s technological advances have facilitated the emergence of innovation “ecosystems,” or platforms on which many different companies can build products or provide services.

The growth of tech companies stems from a combination of organic growth and business acquisitions, driven by the rapidity of innovation. It’s a virtuous circle, where successful technology companies pay large sums for small startups, which in turn induces the formation of more startups. For that reason, technology acquisitions need not diminish competitiveness, even as they accelerate innovation and job growth.  Indeed, as we will see later in this paper, periods of high levels of acquisition have also been periods of rapid job growth.

One question is whether there is anything that government policy can do to encourage technology innovation in the short run.  The answer is probably not—while the government does have plenty of long-term levers, such as spending on basic research and investment in science and engineering education, there are few ways to speed up innovation over the next year.  On the other hand, government policy is actually quite capable of discouraging innovation in the short-run, through outdated regulation and restrictive antitrust policy that does not take the importance and uniqueness of the technology sector into consideration.

Antitrust policy, as applied to the technology sector in its current form, can impede the virtuous circle of nurturing innovation through startups and acquisitions. By slowing down or blocking acquisitions, antitrust policy can limit the exit routes for startups, potentially reducing their value and making it less attractive for investors to put their money into the next round of innovative new companies.

This paper will explore the role of technology acquisitions in encouraging innovation, facilitating economic growth, stimulating jobs, and enhancing our quality of life. First, this paper examines past trends in technology acquisitions, establishing that waves of industry acquisitions have been an integral part of the rapid innovation in tech since the 1980s.  We focus in particular on the post-2005 acquisitions by major tech firms.

Second, we examine the question of whether technology acquisitions facilitate innovation, and in particular high-impact innovations. In fact, the benefits to the rest of the economy are connected to the speed at which potential innovations are moved to market and scaled up. This is because the value created from rapid technological innovation is distributed across all users of the new technology.

Further, this paper will show that periods with high levels of acquisitions generally also tend to be periods of rapid employment growth. This is not meant to be an assertion of causality, but to rather argue that tech acquisitions are part of the same innovative process as employment growth.

To summarize: (1) when done correctly, acquisitions in the technology sector can and have encouraged innovation by bringing new products to market faster and more effectively; and (2) acquisitions and innovation in the technology sector are positively associated with economic growth and job creation. What’s more, mainstream economic theory associates sustainable economic growth in the long-term with constant innovation and technological progress. Looking at technology acquisitions from this perspective provides a different framework from which to assess the potential implications of excessive antitrust regulations, and current antitrust policy.

Read the entire memo.

Political Memo: The “Centrist Premium”: The High Cost of Moderation

Thursday, August 18th, 2011
Anne Kim



Anne Kim is the managing director for policy and strategy at the Progressive Policy Institute.

by Anne Kim

For most of the last 30 years, self-described ideological moderates have comprised a plurality of the American electorate. While the share of moderates has dropped slightly in recent years, 38 percent of voters in 2010 still described themselves as such.

In Congress, on the other hand, moderates are decidedly—and increasingly—a minority. Among Democrats, the moderate New Democrat and Blue Dog Coalitions suffered heavy losses among their respective memberships in 2010 and are now outnumbered by their liberal counterparts in the Progressive Caucus. Among Republicans, moderate members are an even rarer species. In fact, there are only 33 members of the moderate Republican Main Street Partnership who are not also part of the 177-member conservative Republican Study Committee.

Analysts have offered up structural explanations—such as gerrymandering and the current political primary system—for why there aren’t more moderates in elected office to reflect America’s true ideological complexion. This paper looks at another structural disadvantage that moderate candidates and incumbents face: campaign finance.

For better or for worse, financing plays a major role in a candidate’s viability and success. Financing buys the ads and ability to raise a candidate’s profile, counter the opposition and turn out the vote. A hefty campaign war chest can be enough in itself to discourage potential rivals. According to the Federal Election Commission, House Congressional races cost a grand total of nearly $1.1 billion in 2010—or $2.5 million per seat. Moreover, elections are becoming increasingly expensive. The spending in 2010 was nearly double the $563 million spent just a decade ago in 2000.

Read the entire memo.

Policy Brief: Labor and the Producer Society

Wednesday, August 17th, 2011
Will Marshall



Will Marshall is the president of the Progressive Policy Institute.

by Will Marshall

Labor and the Producer Society by Will MarshallOur country is struggling to find a way out of overlapping economic crises. One is cyclical: an agonizingly slow, jobless recovery from a recession made worse by a financial crash. The other crisis is structural. Our economy suffers from a dearth of capital investment and innovation, mismatches between workers’ skills and available jobs, and unsustainable budget and trade deficits.

Even before the recession struck late in 2007, the Great American job machine was sputtering. According to a recent report by the McKinsey Global Institute, “Between 2000 and 2007, the United States posted a weaker record of job creation than during any decade since the Great Depression.” Not only are good jobs vanishing, wages have been falling for all but the top U.S. earners.

One explanation for America’s ebbing dynamism is a long pause in innovation. Since 2000, technological advances have stalled, outside of the dynamic communications industry. In particular, tighter regulation—for good or for bad—appears to be slowing innovation in the healthcare sector.

Research from the Kauffman Foundation also points to a loss of entrepreneurial verve. The number of business start ups, which Kauffman says generate most of U.S. net job growth, has plummeted by about a quarter since 2006.

If there’s a bright spot in the U.S. economy, it’s the recovery of corporate profits and stock prices since 2009. Yet these developments also highlight a stark inequity: Returns on capital are up, but returns on labor are down.

The U.S. economy seems to have arrived at an inflection point. As the Obama administration puzzles over how to rekindle growth, one thing should be clear: There can be no going back to the old economic model of debt-fueled consumption, where U.S. households borrowed to maintain their living standards, aided and abetted by government deficits.

Read the entire policy brief.

Natural Gas Reconsidered

Tuesday, July 19th, 2011
Roger Cooper



Roger Cooper is currently the principal of Cleveland Park Policy Consulting.

by Roger Cooper

During the past few years, the United States has received an unexpected energy windfall: put simply, we have a lot more natural gas than we previously thought. This realization is altering America’s energy future in a fundamental way. For many years, the conventional wisdom was that natural gas would play an important role as a bridge fuel but then fade away as the U.S. and the world turned to renewable sources of energy later in the 21st century.

Recent discoveries of enormous gas reserves in the United States offer a very different vision for the future of natural gas. Expanding domestic production will resolve the primary issue that is presently keeping natural gas from becoming the dominant energy resource in the U.S.: the inadequacy of supplies to guarantee long-term availability at reasonable and predictable prices. Yet a recent report by the MIT Energy Initiative estimates that U.S. reservoirs may contain enough natural gas to meet demand for 90 to 100 years at current consumption levels with much less price volatility.

New technology enabling the extraction of natural gas from shale has been called the most significant energy innovation this century; this discovery has spurred the expansion of U.S. natural gas production. Technology developed primarily in the United States has made the dramatic expansion of U.S. natural gas resources possible. Further technical improvements may enable an even larger expansion of our natural gas resources. ExxonMobil, a company nearly synonymous with oil, now predicts that natural gas will be the fastest growing major fuel source worldwide through 2030. Clearly, something very significant has happened in the world of energy.

Read the entire policy brief here.

Less is More: The Modified Zero Plan for Tax Reform

Tuesday, April 12th, 2011
Paul Weinstein



Paul Weinstein Jr. is an eight-year veteran of the Clinton Administration and served as senior advisor to the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform. He is currently a senior fellow at the Progressive Policy Institute, an adviser to the Bowles-Simpson Moment of Truth project, and lectures at the Johns Hopkins University.

Marc Goldwein



Marc Goldwein is the policy director of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget and served as associate director of the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform.

by Paul Weinstein and Marc Goldwein

Read the Policy Memo

As the ideological battles between the House Republicans and the President over discretionary spending continue to dominate news headlines, the real progress toward defusing America’s debt crisis is occurring more quietly in the Senate. There, a bipartisan group known as the “Gang of Six” has rallied behind the balanced blueprint produced by the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform (Fiscal Commission).

Originally derided by some on the left and right when it issued its December 1, 2010 plan, the Fiscal Commission plan has become the only bipartisan game in town when it comes to deficit reduction. In March, 64 Senators (32 Democrats and 32 Republicans) called on the President to support a broad approach for addressing deficit problem and stated that the Fiscal Commission’s “work represents an important foundation to achieve meaningful progress on our debt.” Shortly thereafter, ten former heads of the Council of Economic Advisers, both Republicans and Democrats, co-signed a public statement urging that the Fiscal Commission’s report “be the starting point of an active legislative process that involves intense negotiations between both parties.”

The Fiscal Commission plan includes something for everyone to dislike, but along with a real plan to cut the deficit, the proposal includes a number of reforms that break through the partisan logjam that has plagued Washington in recent years. One such reform is the Fiscal Commission’s tax reform plan, which despite reflexive opposition from conservative anti-tax groups was supported by all three Senate Republicans on the Commission.

Read the Policy Memo

Homeownership Vouchers: A Plan to Reinvigorate the Economy While Helping Low-Income Families

Tuesday, March 1st, 2011
Robert Lerman



Robert I. Lerman is a professor of economics at American University and Institute Fellow at Urban Institute. He has published widely on economic and social policy issues, including the potential for expanding apprenticeship in the U.S. and the interactions between family structure and labor market outcomes.

by Robert Lerman

Read the Policy Memo

While easy monetary policy and a large fiscal stimulus have limited the economic downturn and helped generate modest growth, few believe the economy can grow fast enough to reduce unemployment without the recovery of the housing sector. Yet, no such recovery is in sight. As of late December 2010, the headline story was “Housing Recovery Stalls: Fresh Fall in Home Prices is Headwind for Economy.”1 Construction output remains 30 percent below pre-recession levels and is no higher today than it was a year ago (about 30 percent of all lost jobs were in the construction industry). The unemployment rate among construction workers is about 19 percent, double the national average. There are still 7 million homes in foreclosure or with mortgages that are 90 days delinquent. House prices continue to stagnate.

So far, federal initiatives aimed at shoring up the housing sector have cost tens of billions of dollars but have been ineffective and poorly targeted. The tax credit for homebuyers may have sped up some home purchases, but it did so at a high cost and with benefits flowing to many high-income families. It subsidized purchases that would have taken place without the credit, resulting in a cost to the taxpayer of $43,000 per new home purchased and a total budget cost of $15-20 billion, which was twice as much as Congress expected. President Obama’s Homeowner Affordability and Stability plan has reached only a small percentage of eligible homeowners.

The potential benefits of increasing the demand for owner-occupied housing are enormous. A rise in home prices would reduce the number of homeowners who find their homes worth far less than their mortgages. It would discourage these “underwater” homeowners from walking away from their mortgages; allow more families to refinance at low interest rates, thereby reducing the rate of foreclosures; and, ultimately, it would generate new construction jobs and spur associated job growth. Increased home values also can play an indirect role in job creation, since more small business owners would again be able to use their home as collateral for loans to maintain and expand their business.

Read the Policy Memo

Getting Real About Energy: A Balanced Portfolio for America’s Future

Wednesday, February 23rd, 2011
James Conca



Dr. James Conca is director of the WSCF radiological labs operated by RJ Lee Group at the Hanford Site in Washington State, under the Mission Support Alliance. Previously, he was director of the NMSU Carlsbad Environmental Monitoring and Research Center. He came to NMSU from Los Alamos National Laboratory where he was Project Leader for Radionuclide Geochemistry. Before that, Conca was on the faculty at Washington State University. Conca obtained a Ph.D. in Geochemistry from the California Institute of Technology in 1985, as well as a Masters in Planetary Science in 1981, and a BS in Geology and Biochemistry from Brown University in 1979.

Judith Wright



Dr. Judith Wright is a geologist, earth-systems scientist, entrepreneur, and eco-philosopher. She became a staff scientist at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory before becoming President of UFA Ventures, Incorporated, an environmental remediation and characterization company. Wright received a PhD in geochemistry from the University of Oregon and a BS in geology from CalState Northridge with a minor in Philosophy. Dr. Wright is author of the book The Geopolitics of Energy: Achieving a Just and Sustainable Energy Distribution by 2040.

by James Conca and Judith Wright

The failure by Congress to pass energy and climate legislation has left U.S. energy policy adrift, with no clear direction or guiding concept of how we are going to address the long-term questions about the energy resources we elect to use and their impact on the environment. Rather than pursuing new approaches and policy proposals in the wake of the political defeat of cap-and-trade legislation, energy and environmental advocates have largely splintered into chaotic scrambles for subsidies or resigned their strategies to calling for increased research and development spending for energy, perhaps hoping technology can succeed in finding solutions where politics failed. Meanwhile, foreign nations continue to announce bold plans that set clear strategies for managing their future energy resources, leaving the U.S. farther behind every day in planning for leadership of tomorrow’s economy.

This paper aims to reorganize our discussions about energy and the environment around a very basic idea: the U.S. needs a new framework for identifying the goals of our energy policies and for laying out a vision of what our energy future should look like. Our current debates are too narrowly focused on incentives or regulation of specific fuels, pollutants, and technologies. We are losing sight of the forest in our fights over so many trees, and we need to take a step back and first address the broader question of where we ultimately want to be decades from now as a country and as an energy leader in the global economy. When we have an idea of the where we want to be decades from now, we can have a much more strategic and deliberate process for making policy decisions.

So what should this framework look like? By rejecting both the climate denialism and obstruction of the right and the wishful thinking and anti-nuclear biases of the far left, we outline a realistic plan to finally get the U.S. on track to a new, green economy and lead the world to a cleaner energy future. As an immediate and bold step toward setting real goals for clean and balanced growth, we propose a balanced energy portfolio that moves us toward a 30-year target energy mix for electricity generation of one-third fossil fuels, one-third renewable sources (wind, solar, biomass, hydro), and one-third nuclear generation. Such a target is an ambitious departure from our current mix of 69 percent fossil fuels, 11 percent renewable energy, and 20 percent nuclear energy. But it is doable – and setting the target is essential to serve as the polestar for all energy policy discussions.

Our balanced energy portfolio proposal is not meant to be exhaustive in its specific policy prescriptions. We offer this proposed portfolio as a framework for assessing what our needs are and for setting parameters and mileposts for policy proposals that are responsive to those needs. Such a framework is a starting point, and it will be up to policy makers to take the critical next steps by enacting meaningful policy changes that will get us there.

Read the memo

End Separate War Spending

Monday, February 14th, 2011
Jim Arkedis



Jim Arkedis is the director of PPI's National Security Project.

by Jim Arkedis

It’s federal budget season. Before you doze off, stick with me: there’s a deceptive budgetary maneuver that is costing you billions in defense dollars, forcing progressive members of Congress into uncomfortable votes on Iraq and Afghanistan, and defying every historical precedent in Pentagon budgeting.

This maneuver is the supplemental appropriation for war funding. Every year since the United States launched military operations in Afghanistan in response to the September 11th attacks, Congress has appropriated separate funds for unanticipated wartime costs in addition to the Pentagon’s baseline budget. In some years, only one extra war spending bill is approved; in 2010, two supplemental appropriations were passed.

Supplemental war funding appropriations are hardly new, beginning in World War II. When used correctly, the process serves as a vital tool that delivers timely funding to America’s fighting men and women. In the initial stages of combat, supplemental appropriations are extraordinarily useful in the face of the lengthy Congressional budget process, which does not allow for unanticipated military spending. Typically, the supplemental funds pay for pre-deployment costs, servicemembers’ transportation to the warzone, combat operations, equipment needs, and military construction. Without this tool, the Pentagon would essentially be forced to sacrifice long-term projects to meet immediate wartime needs.

Here’s the rub: Under the Bush administration, allegedly “emergency” supplemental appropriations for war costs became routine avenues for backdoor spending. Their opaque nature and lack of oversight have created a propensity to fund low-priority programs that has effectively eroded any sense of fiscal discipline at the Pentagon, bloating military spending. We must put an end to the practice

The Department of Defense (DoD) is the unquestioned champion of discretionary spending—money the government chooses to spend, rather than is obliged to pay for entitlements like Medicare, Medicaid, or Social Security. With more than $700 billion in discretionary funds available, the Pentagon far outpaces its nearest competition, the Department of Health and Human Services, at $80 billion.

Since 2001, the Congressional Research Service (CRS) estimates that Congress has approved $1.12 trillion in supplemental appropriations, 90 percent of which—$1.01 trillion—has been destined for the Department of Defense. One estimate is that Congress has no control over one-fifth of supplemental war spending; therefore, a rough calculation suggests that some $200 billion has been wasted in 10 years.

While those on the extreme left and in the Tea Party would like to see slashes in the Pentagon’s spending, what DoD’s budget really needs is not gutting, but a solid dose of discipline.

Read the policy memo

Getting America Moving Again

Monday, February 7th, 2011
The Progressive Policy Institute





by The Progressive Policy Institute

The following document was originally released on January 21, 2011

read this document in .pdf format

To: President Barack Obama

From: The Progressive Policy Institute

Re: Getting America Moving Again

As you prepare for the State of the Union address, you are no doubt focused on the generational challenges that this nation faces.

A decade of war, self-inflicted economic wounds, and political deadlock has taken a toll on Americans’ legendary optimism: only one in seven believe their children will have a better life than theirs; most erroneously think that China already has surpassed the United States as the world’s leading economic power; and many fear that a looming deficit crisis will smother our economy in debt while putting us deeper in hock to foreign creditors.

Even if these worries are exaggerated, the underlying trends are real enough. Our country is slipping behind in global competition, as once-mighty U.S. banks and auto-makers falter, and others take the lead in emerging markets for clean energy and high speed rail. Our economy is not yet generating enough good jobs to drive unemployment down to normal levels or keep inequality from growing worse. Our government’s debts are exploding, even as we need to invest more in modernizing our antiquated public infrastructure. Our schools are failing to prepare too many young Americans to meet the new standards for competitive success.

We have no doubt that the American people are ready to do their part. The question is whether U.S. political leaders are willing to do theirs. The hyper-partisanship on display these days in Washington is more than discouraging – it suggests a political class whose idea of problem-solving is to blame the other party for everything that’s gone wrong.

Mr. President, you have a real opportunity here to rise above partisanship, and to rally a restive country behind the bold and difficult steps required to spark a national economic resurgence.

Your message should be simple: it’s time to get America moving again. It’s time to champion big ideas that can move us past the partisan deadlock, and towards a more prosperous future.

In this memo, the Progressive Policy Institute outlines 10 big ideas, grounded in a spirit of radical pragmatism, for rebuilding America’s economic strength.

1. Removing Obstacles to Growth: A Regulatory Improvement Commission

Innovation is America’s biggest comparative advantage in global competition and the best hope we have for driving sustainable job growth. As you recognized in this month’s executive order, one source of inadvertent obstruction is the dead weight of accumulated regulations, which slows innovation and prevents the economy from reaching its full potential.

Your executive order was a positive step toward a healthier, more dynamic environment for innovation in the U.S., but we believe that goal requires a more direct and results-driven approach. We advocate a review process that looks broadly at the full patchwork of regulations and draws on many perspectives from outside government, rather than relying on the agencies themselves to look critically at their own regulations in isolation.

We propose a periodic review process conducted by a Regulatory Improvement Commission, modeled loosely on the BRAC Commissions for military base closures. This Commission would take a principled approach to evaluating and pruning existing regulations, solicit balanced input from all stakeholders (not just industry groups or agencies themselves), and do so in a manner that ensures we protect public health, safety, and the environment.

Once appointed, each Commission will have a limited time and budget to complete its work. After agreeing on a package of regulations to eliminate or simplify, the Commission will send it to Congress for a fast-track, up-or-down vote without amendments or filibusters. This bill would then require your signature for the changes to take effect.

If we are to maintain trust and confidence in our regulatory system, it’s essential that we have a process by which the government can periodically be held accountable for its regulations by the people and businesses subject to them.  This will ensure not only that our private-sector economy remains vibrant and healthy, but that our public sector does as well.

2. Internal National Building: A National Infrastructure Bank

After decades of wasteful spending that too often directed taxpayer dollars to Congressional pork projects while neglecting to invest in our most critical infrastructure, states and local governments are now confronting massive rebuilding challenges they can no longer avoid.

We need to think more strategically about prioritizing infrastructure projects that have significant national and regional benefits. And we need smart, innovative financing solutions that enable us to restore the backbone of our economy.

A well-structured National Infrastructure Bank can play this role by leveraging public dollars with the participation of private-sector investors, as we have seen in Europe and in several states here in America as well.

You should ask Congress to provide the start-up capital this year for a publicly-owned, independent Bank focused on lending for projects that produce real economic returns. Doing so means the Bank could generate enough returns to pay for itself over time, and it won’t require continued support from the federal budget every year.

It’s a great deal for taxpayers, and for state and local governments who will benefit from lower borrowing costs for new projects.  It’s also a solid way to help create thousands of productive jobs and billions in new investments – involving private investors who can tap into the $2 trillion in cash that corporations are now keeping on the sidelines.  And it sends a clear signal that your administration has shifted away from short-term, sugar-high stimulus toward a longer-term economic strategy focused on investment for sustainable private-sector job growth.

3. A Way to Pay for High-Speed Rail

The most recent transportation reauthorization bill in Congress ended up in the same state as our transportation system itself: overextended, underfunded, and suffering from a prolonged lack of public attention.  Given the country’s pressing infrastructure needs and the economic benefits of modernizing transportation, it’s time to make this bill a priority and to use it as an opportunity to reshape the administration’s spending plans for high-speed rail (HSR).

Now is the time to prioritize the high-speed rail initiative by concentrating public resources on a small number of strategic, viable projects that already have participation from private investors, and to identify a stable, long-term source of funding for those projects.

We propose restructuring the Highway Trust Fund into a Surface Transportation Trust Fund that recaptures its original mission—to build and maintain an efficient national transportation network—and updates that mission to reflect 21st-century priorities, including upgrades to our passenger and freight rail systems.  Instead of continuing to throw $50 billion a year into our current pork-laden Trust Fund, we must create a results-oriented transportation fund that can move viable HSR projects forward and provide seed money for public-private partnerships.  Congress could easily allot $5 billion a year for HSR construction – without an increase in the gas tax – by cutting out earmarks and formula-based grants that now soak up billions of dollars. While this amount would not be enough to fund an ambitious, full-scale national HSR system, it would go a long way toward making smart projects a reality in the Northeast Corridor, Florida, and California.

4. Restoring Fiscal Discipline in Washington

The national debt is on course to reach 90 percent of GDP by the end of the decade. This is economically and politically unsustainable. Restoring fiscal discipline in Washington is integral to America’s economic comeback.

Some urge you to give priority to economic growth over deficit reduction. We are glad you have rejected this false choice. Fiscal restraint is a crucial ingredient of a new growth strategy. It will yield a bigger U.S. economy, as Americans divert less of their savings from interest payments to productive investment. It will boost investor confidence in the essential soundness of the U.S. economy. And it will safeguard America’s economic sovereignty by reducing our reliance on foreign lenders.

If restoring fiscal discipline is sound economics, it’s also sound ethics. This is particularly true of the independent and moderate voters progressives need to reach. To them, big deficits stand as a symbol of an insular and irresponsible political class that misspends the people’s money to entrench itself in power.

For all these reasons, we urge you to include in your State of the Union Address a credible plan for long-term deficit reduction. Following the general contours of your Fiscal Commission’s proposals, such a plan should include these key steps:

  • Radically prune tax expenditures, which are nothing more than backdoor spending through the tax code. These subsidies, totaling over $1.1 trillion a year, are popular, but many of them are outdated, inefficient, or regressive. Scaling them back would allow us to narrow budget deficits and lower individual and corporate tax rates.
  • Restore budget discipline by capping domestic spending, including for defense, and adhering to strict PAYGO rules that demand offsets for all new spending or tax cuts. These measures would take effect next year, and can be adjusted if economic demand remains weak and unemployment high.
  • In addition to the cuts Defense Secretary Gates has proposed, the Pentagon can contribute to restoring the fiscal stability by eliminating supplemental spending bills, which have been used to evade normal budget controls. Combining future appropriations into one defense budget per year would effectively represent a hard cap on cost growth and force appropriators to make hard choices that prioritize battlefield needs.
  • Slow mandatory spending. The unsustainable growth of public health and retirement costs is driving America’s long-term fiscal dilemmas.  We believe the progressive way to get automatic entitlement spending under control is to trim benefits for affluent future retirees, rather than raises taxes on working families.  PPI also proposes a health care budget which would oblige Congress to periodically reconcile spending and revenue for public health programs.

5. Setting National Targets: A Balanced Energy Portfolio

After the failure by Congress to pass comprehensive energy and climate legislation last year, U.S. energy policy has been left adrift, with no clear direction or vision for how we are going to meet our growing energy needs.  As a starting point for defining that vision, the country needs some idea of what our target should be for an energy mix that will best serve our nation’s interests over the next three decades.  Such a framework will guide specific trade-offs and policy choices, and allow us to mark progress on the way to a clean energy economy.

Specifically, PPI proposes a national Balanced Energy Portfolio with a target fuel mix allocated into thirds by 2040: one third of our electricity generated by renewable resources, one third by nuclear power, and one third from traditional fossil fuels. This approach recognizes that while our use of clean energy must be dramatically increased, the promise of renewable energy technologies has not yet reached the potential for wholesale replacement of other energy sources in the next 30 years. So for now we must focus on managing our current resources and technologies to move us closer to ensuring both sustainable economic growth and responsible environmental stewardship.

By setting these realistic goalposts with a Balanced Energy Portfolio, we can have an honest debate about our energy future and focus on the specific policies necessary to make this vision a reality.  This approach complements but does not replace other proposals such as carbon pricing or adoption of Clean Energy Standards, which set minimum thresholds for states and utilities to use low-carbon generation sources like wind, solar, nuclear, clean-coal technology, along with credits for efficiency measures and new natural gas resources used to replace aging coal plants. And since any realistic plan to reduce greenhouse emissions during this period must include strong support for nuclear power, we call on Congress and the administration to speed the review of applications for new reactors and resolve inter-agency disputes and funding uncertainties for nuclear loan guarantees.

6. Greening the Pentagon: An Energy Security Innovation Fund

Necessity is the mother of invention, and our armed forces have made it clear that the need for energy innovation has become a critical national security priority.  The military is already “greening” because it can’t afford to rely exclusively on fossil fuels, whose transportation to the war zone is long, dangerous and expensive. This past year, for example, the US Navy flew an F-18A Super Hornet on nothing but domestically-produced biofuels.  But there’s a real problem for other worthy green fuel products—they often lack the capital necessary to get from the test-lab to the battlefield, and maybe beyond.

We need an Energy Security Innovation Fund, housed in the Pentagon, to help companies bridge the gap. Such a fund would leverage public dollars with private money to support research and deployment of the most promising green products.  The most successful could be transferred to the public market, just like radar, GPS, and the Internet, all of which began life as military products. This would follow the lead of CIA’s In-Q-Tel, program, which began in 1999 to help small companies develop technologies for the intelligence community. For a relatively paltry $50 million a year, In-Q-Tel has spawned $1.4 billion in innovative products for the CIA.

7. Bringing Public Education into the 21st Century

We are strong supporters of your school reform agenda, which incorporates many innovations PPI has long championed: public charter schools, early learning, performance pay for teachers, and a commitment that the federal government stop funding failure and instead demand real accountability for results. Nonetheless, we urge you to take even bolder steps to speed the pace of school innovation and improvement. Our country cannot be satisfied with the persistence of large achievement gaps between white and minority students, or our students’ mediocre performance on international tests.

America’s standard school model—whose roots lie in the late 19th century—is obsolete. We need to replace it with a 21st century school system organized around two principles: high, common standards benchmarked to those of our fiercest competitors; and individualized learning enabled by digital media and online-instruction. Here are several ways your administration could accelerate the radical innovations we need to transform, not just reform, our public schools:

  • Encourage exponential growth of high-performing charter schools, to expand high quality options for disadvantaged youth. We urge you to endorse Rep. Jared Polis’s “All Star” proposal, which would offer competitive grants to states that want to scale up proven charter management organizations. Your administration also could fund pilot projects in the states that enhance funding for the best charters, giving them the means to expand and grow.
  • End tenure as we know it. Your Race to the Top initiative gives states incentives to link teacher pay to classroom performance, and to include student growth as a factor in teacher evaluations. It’s time to go a step further and reward efforts to abolish the old tenure system. It shields incompetent teachers from accountability, discourages talented people from entering the profession, and keeps teachers from achieving the professional status they deserve.
  • Spur a national network of Innovation Zones. Last year, New York City created the first such zone to produce at least 100 schools based on dramatically new approaches to instruction. Many are experimenting with new school designs that use cutting edge technology to customize instruction for different learning styles. Your administration should give other states or localities incentives to push the envelop of innovation in public schools.
  • Create a Digital Teacher Corps. Efforts to use digital tools and social media to develop new and more individualized approaches to learning are in their infancy. A key reason is that education training programs don’t teach teachers how to use them. We commend an idea from the Joan Ganz Cooney Center at Sesame Studios: establish a national Digital Teachers Corps to train teachers is the use of digital tools to customize student learning.

8. Lifting Housing Markets: One Million Homeowner Vouchers

Many economists believe that a sluggish housing sector continues to hold back our economic recovery. So far, federal initiatives to shore up the housing sector, costing tens of billions of dollars, have been ineffective and ill-targeted.

An innovative way to jump-start the housing market would be for the federal government to provide a million vouchers that allow low-income renters to become homeowners. We should also allow some of the two million holders of rental vouchers to convert them into homeownership vouchers.

Because the plan would substantially increase the demand for owner-occupied dwellings, inventories of unsold homes would decline and prices would rise in many markets. The net costs of the initiative (about $2.5 billion, according to Urban Institute economist Robert Lerman) would be less than funding an equivalent number of rental vouchers at current levels, since the carrying costs are substantially lower than the fair market rent in most areas.

The homeownership voucher proposal would speed up demand for owner-occupied housing, while reducing the housing burdens on a large number of low-income families.

9. Align Innovation and Immigration

America’s ability to compete for high-wage jobs in a fiercely competitive world increasingly depends on a high-skilled workforce capable of ceaseless innovation. We particularly need more workers with high-order technical skills, or what we call “knowledge capital”. While comprehensive immigration reform may be a bridge too far in 2011, less sweeping changes can help the United States fill its need. Specifically, we urge two reforms:

  • First, we need to make it easier for foreign students who receive advanced degrees from U.S. institutions in science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) to stay in the U.S. and join the workforce. Our current immigration system makes it unnecessarily difficult for STEM advanced-degree graduates who are here legally to gain employment. Those students have to compete with foreign-educated and more experienced workers for only 65,000 H1-B visas and 80,000 priority worker and advanced-degree green cards issued every year. By stapling a green card – granting lawful permanent residence – to every foreign student’s post-graduate STEM degree diploma, we can encourage capable young immigrants to establish U.S. citizenship and contribute their skills to our knowledge economy.
  • Second, we should offer an expedited pathway to citizenship for the children of illegal immigrants who go to college or engage in meaningful national service. Every year up to 65,000 undocumented children graduate high school. While it’s not illegal for them to attend college, universities and colleges have given new scrutiny to immigration status in the wake of 9/11, which has had a chilling effect on undocumented immigrants’ enrollment. We salute you for fighting last year to pass the DREAM Act. We hope you will propose similar legislation this year to grant conditional permanent-resident status to undocumented immigrants who entered the U.S. before their 16th birthday, lived here for at least five years, are of good moral character, and either graduated from high school or attained admission to college.

10. Taking Power from Special Interests: A Fair Way to Finance Elections

A major obstacle to enacting any of the progressive reforms offered here is our current state of political paralysis. Instead of a search for common ground upon which reasonable compromises can be forged, politics has degenerated into a zero-sum shouting match in which each side attempts not just to defeat their opponents, but to delegitimate them.

On both sides, ideologues lay down gauntlets of purity tests that few moderates can survive, and special interests threaten scorched-earth responses should they not get their favored outcomes. This means that while calls for political civility, compromise, and tolerance are important, we must also tackle the structural roots of our dysfunctional national politics.

As long as congressional campaigns are privately funded, and as long as the big donations come primarily from ideologues and special interests, pragmatic candidates are going to have a tough time raising the resources they need to get started, and a difficult time winning in all-important low-turnout primaries.

Like you, Mr. President, we support a hybrid Fair Elections system introduced by Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) to allow federal candidates to choose to run for office without relying on large contributions by using federal money to match small donations. Such a funding system has already been proven successful in seven states and more than a dozen cities. We urge you to give this reform the presidential push it needs.

The Bottom line

Last year’s elections showed once again that voters are deeply frustrated by the failure of either party to rise above partisanship and put their country’s interests first. That’s why many independent and moderate voters have restlessly switched back and forth between the parties. They keep searching for some political configuration that will break the partisan impasse in Washington, reverse our economic slide, and keep the American dream alive for their children.

This hunger for purposeful action creates a fresh opportunity for you to govern in a post-partisan way that taps into the great can-do spirit of American pragmatism. More than anything else, Americans need an economic success story we can believe in. We believe these ideas are part of that story.

Reviving Jobs and Innovation: A Progressive Approach to Improving Regulation

Thursday, February 3rd, 2011
Michael Mandel



Michael Mandel is the chief economic strategist at the Progressive Policy Institute and the founder of Visible Economy LLC, a New York-based news and education company.

by Michael Mandel

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Today, the U.S. is suffering from a regulatory paradox: Too few and too many regulations at the same time. On the one hand, financial services were clearly under-regulated during the 2000s, making financial reform essential. Similarly, President Obama’s healthcare reform bill was a key first step to reining in medical costs.

But in other areas we see an accumulation of rules and regulations over the past decade. The trend started with the vast expansion of homeland security regulation under the Bush administration and continued through the first two years of the Obama administration.

That’s why President Obama should be applauded for issuing his executive order “Improving Regulation and Regulatory Review” on January 18. The order asked agencies to pay more attention to promoting innovation as part of the regulatory process. In addition, agencies were directed to come up with a plan for reviewing their existing significant regulations.

However, the president’s executive order did not go far enough. A regulatory ‘self-review’ process has been tried repeatedly in the past, and it’s always fallen far short of expectations. Regulators have a tough time trimming their own regulations, given internal bureaucratic pressures. But don’t blame the agencies—neither Congress nor the executive branch has a good way of reviewing and reforming existing regulations, even when they have become outdated or burdensome.

The regulatory system needs a mechanism to address this need for periodic review. We propose a Regulatory Improvement Commission (RIC), an independent body analogous to the BRAC Commissions for evaluating military base closures. This is designed to build on the president’s executive order, and in the process improve its effectiveness. The RIC will take a principled approach to evaluating and pruning existing regulations, gather input from all stakeholders (not just business or just agencies), and do so in a manner that ensures we protect public health, safety, and the environment.

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China’s Growing Naval Power

Tuesday, December 14th, 2010
Michael Chase



Michael S. Chase is an associate professor in the Strategy and Policy Department at the U.S. Naval War College and a fellow with the Truman National Security Project. The views expressed here are his own.

by Michael Chase

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It’s clear that China’s Navy is growing in size and quality. Not only does China have the largest navy in East Asia, it has an increasingly modern and capable force of imported and indigenously produced destroyers, frigates, missile patrol craft, and submarines. Beijing is even planning to deploy its own aircraft carriers, a development sure to alarm neighbors such as Japan, Vietnam, and India.

But what does it mean for American policy makers? Should the United States increase its own maritime power in response to Beijing’s growing strength? Are there diplomatic levers that Washington might pull to forestall potential Chinese aggression? Below, I explore these issues, first by giving a brief history of China’s evolving naval strategies since the People’s Republic began in 1949. (It’s critical that U.S. policy makers understand the evolution of China’s thinking about the roles and missions of its navy.) Then, I provide a full accounting of recent Chinese naval hardware developments. Finally, I draw policy recommendations designed to help American policy makers manage the challenges that have arisen as a result of China’s improving capabilities, regional assertiveness and expanding global interests.

In short, the U.S. will need to strengthen its ties to key countries in East Asia and develop strategic and tactical military concepts and capabilities that would allow it to counter China’s growing military power. Meanwhile, U.S. policy makers must seek collaboration with the Chinese military in an effort to highlight the benefits of being a global stakeholder to Beijing.

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