Posts Tagged ‘ Jim Bunning ’

Post-Primary Polls: Reading the Tea Leaves

Friday, May 21st, 2010
Ed Kilgore



Ed Kilgore is a PPI senior fellow, as well as managing editor of The Democratic Strategist, an online forum.

by Ed Kilgore

Tuesday’s round of primaries and special elections was pretty momentous, though the chattering classes continue to argue over their larger meaning, if any.

In Pennsylvania, Rep. Joe Sestak edged incumbent, party-switching Sen. Arlen Specter, ending his long and contentious political career. More exciting to political junkies was the relatively easy Democratic victory in a special election in the twelfth congressional district, in Western Pennsylvania, which Republicans had expected to win. Depending on your point of view, this result either meant that Republicans aren’t going to win the kind of landslide in November that so many have predicted, or that Democrats have to separate themselves from the Obama agenda to survive. Meanwhile, in a very low-key primary, Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato won the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, and begins the general election as an underdog against Republican Attorney General Tom Corbett.

In Kentucky, of course, Rand Paul trounced Secretary of State Trey Grayson, Mitch McConnell’s protégé, for the Republican nomination to succeed Jim Bunning, and instantly became the national symbol of the Tea Party. Attorney General Jack Conway’s strong showing in the Louisville area helped him edge Lt. Gov. Dan Mongiardo for the Democratic nomination in a race largely devoid of substantive differences between the candidates.

In Arkansas, after an expensive campaign all but dominated by out-of-state interests, labor-backed Lt. Gov. Bill Halter forced business-backed Sen. Blanche Lincoln into a runoff three weeks from now.  A third candidate, the very conservative D.C. Morrison, took 13 percent of the vote but refuses to endorse either candidate in the runoff.

And in Oregon, former Gov. John Kitzhaber easily won the Democratic gubernatorial nomination over former Secretary of State Bill Bradbury, while former NBA player Chris Dudley beat conservative activist Allen Alley for the GOP nod.

This has been a very active week for political pollsters. One of the most controversial surveys was, typically, done by Rasmussen, which did a snap poll after the Kentucky primaries and showed Rand Paul with an astonishing 25-point lead over Jack Conway, for a deconstruction of this survey, see Nate Silver.

The Public Policy Institute of California released a major new poll this week, showing a competitive Republican gubernatorial race between former eBay CEO Meg Whitman and Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner. Whitman has already spent $68 million on her campaign so far, and Poizner’s spent $24 million; their highly negative attack ads against each other are dominating the California airwaves. Meanwhile, Democratic candidate Jerry Brown has moved ahead of both Republicans in PPIC’s general election trial heat. PPIC also showed a close three-way race for the Republican Senate nomination in California, as former Rep. Tom Campbell and former Hewlett Packard executive Carly Fiorina fight for the lead, while conservative hard-liner Chuck DeVore moves up rapidly into contention.  Barbara Boxer, meanwhile, has re-established a lead over all the GOP candidates.

Rasmussen conducted the first poll in several months of the very competitive South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary, indicating that right-wing favorite Nikki Haley, who trailed the field initially, has leapt into the lead, with Attorney General Henry McMaster, who is the closest thing to a moderate in the race, running second. Controversial Lt. Gov. Andre “Stray Animals” Bauer is running last, with high unfavorables. In a separate poll, Rasmussen found Rep. Vincent Sheehan now running ahead of early front-runner and State School Superintendent Jim Rex in the Democratic gubernatorial contest in South Carolina. Both contests could well be heading for runoffs.

Next door in Georgia, Insider Advantage’s poll of the Republican gubernatorial race shows little change from earlier surveys: State Insurance Commissioner Jim Oxendine leads the field, while former U.S. Rep. Nathan Deal and Secretary of State Karen Handel are battling for second place.  Many Democrats are hoping that Oxendine and Deal, both of whom have been struggling with ethics charges, wind up in a runoff.

And finally, the first post-primary poll in the Pennsylvania Senate race, again by Rasmussen, shows Democrat Joe Sestak running ahead of former U.S. Representative and Club for Growth president, Pat Toomey by four points. This is the first time in many months that Toomey has trailed any Democrat in general election polls, and a very good sign for Sestak.

The Bunning Blockade Ends

Wednesday, March 3rd, 2010
Elbert Ventura



Elbert Ventura is the managing editor of Democracy: A Journal of Ideas. He formerly served as the managing editor of the Progressive Policy Institute.

by Elbert Ventura

Sen. Jim Bunning (R-KY), who had held up Senate passage of a $10 billion short-term benefits extension for days, finally relented yesterday and allowed the measure to come for a vote. Bunning’s objection to unanimous consent to pass the package resulted in the elapsing of funding for a host of federal programs, including infrastructure projects, unemployment benefits, and Medicare payments.

The Kentucky senator, who is retiring after this year (with a helpful nudge from his fellow Republicans), had demanded that Democrats find offsets in the budget for the legislation. Democrats retorted that the bill was a short-term emergency measure that did not fall under “pay-go” rules. (Democrats, on a party-line vote, reinstituted “pay-as-you-go” rules in January.)

The Bunning blockade proved to be a heaven-sent illustration of Republican obstructionism and heartlessness. McClatchy came up with a handy graphic depicting its state-by-state effects:

Even as the blockade stretched over the first couple of days of this week – leaving about 1.2 million unemployed people high and dry, 2,000 Department of Transportation workers furloughed, and numerous projects halted – some of Bunning’s colleagues actually voiced their support for his actions. Sen. John Cornyn (TX) said:

It’s not fun to be accused of having no compassion for the people who are out of work, the people for who these benefits should be forthcoming, and I believe will be forthcoming. But somebody has to stand up, finally, and say enough is enough, no more inter-generational theft from our children and grandchildren by not meeting our responsibilities today.

Meanwhile, Sen. Jon Kyl (AZ), in response to Bunning’s filibuster of unemployment compensation, helpfully noted: “In fact, if anything, continuing to pay people unemployment compensation is a disincentive for them to seek new work.” Even newly minted Sen. Scott Brown gave Bunning’s efforts a thumbs-up:

The perception in Massachusetts and other parts of the country is that Washington is broken. And if it takes one guy to get up and make a stand, to point out that we need a funding source to pay for everything that’s being pushed here, I think that speaks for itself.

Here’s the best part: Bunning, along with every Republican in the Senate, voted against “pay-as-you-go” legislation. Republicans had thundered that the pay-go bill was a political fig leaf and that Democrats weren’t really serious about budget sanity. Considering that previous pay-go rules elapsed in 2002 under the Republicans’ watch, and that they also presided over the ballooning of the deficit, I suppose they’re experts on the subject.

Grumpy Old Party

Friday, February 26th, 2010
Ed Kilgore



Ed Kilgore is a PPI senior fellow, as well as managing editor of The Democratic Strategist, an online forum.

by Ed Kilgore

If you are unemployed, or if you are one of the millions of people hanging on to cancelled employer-sponsored health insurance via COBRA, your life will take a turn for the more insecure on Sunday, thanks to Sen. Jim Bunning (R-KY), who wants to make a symbolic gesture about federal spending. Bunning is refusing to let the Senate vote on totally noncontroversial extenders for these provisions, which will probably force a cloture vote and at least a week’s delay in restoring unemployment insurance and COBRA.

What makes this weird is that Bunning is taking this action not to secure any concessions on present or future legislation, but to express his grumpiness about something that’s already happened: Senate passage of the first chunk of jobs legislation by a 70-28 vote.

Now you have to appreciate that Bunning is a very angry old man. Never a very genial soul, he was pushed into retirement by his own party because it looked like he would be defeated even in a good Republican year, in part because he’s exhibited some signs of being a few bricks shy of a load. So he’s mad at his colleagues, and maybe even mad at his constituents, for their failure to let him serve in the Senate into his ninth decade of walking the earth.

The most appropriate response to Bunning’s grievances is probably the words the senator himself contemptuously uttered yesterday to Sens. Dick Durbin and Jeff Merkley when they cited the plight of the unemployed and soon-to-be-uninsured in asking him to let the extenders come to a vote: “Tough s__t!” The people he’s affecting with his little fit of pique have a lot more to complain about than Bunning, who’s largely wasted twelve years in the Senate being a grumpy old man. But he is a fitting symbol of the obstructionism of his party in Congress, which knows no bounds and feels no shame.

This item is cross-posted at The Democratic Strategist.